Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.525286 4.066377 4.659192 5.356395 6.153467 7.035829 8.086274
2025-02-02 2.954338 3.708957 4.603807 5.741288 7.146858 8.824943 10.978756
2025-02-09 2.440450 3.300328 4.393103 5.879422 7.843890 10.346749 13.772895
2025-02-16 2.037640 2.946105 4.174524 5.949305 8.439389 11.799320 16.666758
2025-02-23 1.667305 2.563084 3.845040 5.801850 8.700041 12.818486 19.096481
2025-03-02 1.352404 2.200362 3.479082 5.532150 8.727388 13.487445 21.087171
2025-03-09 1.174043 2.011539 3.336008 5.562177 9.185271 14.816732 24.188522
2025-03-16 0.996402 1.792879 3.110380 5.422456 9.346667 15.693177 26.671660
2025-03-23 0.928904 1.746974 3.156073 5.726557 10.256353 17.846354 31.435901
2025-03-30 0.851752 1.670913 3.137325 5.912616 10.980433 19.760693 35.999750
2025-04-06 0.761259 1.555682 3.031770 5.926239 11.395531 21.180043 39.846870
2025-04-13 0.645900 1.374737 2.779989 5.634121 11.212503 21.512436 41.771481
2025-04-20 0.603471 1.335524 2.797828 5.869178 12.068326 23.862969 47.742704
2025-04-27 0.581848 1.336275 2.894685 6.273425 13.303075 27.060722 55.681747
2025-05-04 0.536365 1.278666 2.864625 6.414315 14.027289 29.352318 62.108764
2025-05-11 0.490003 1.211675 2.805283 6.484678 14.612597 31.428251 68.326681
2025-05-18 0.431367 1.106777 2.648590 6.321260 14.678204 32.447245 72.472250
2025-05-25 0.371661 0.989272 2.446434 6.026549 14.415032 32.739191 75.093134
2025-06-01 0.340445 0.937346 2.388974 6.058106 14.888556 34.659234 81.443132
2025-06-08 0.302083 0.860748 2.261726 5.905809 14.916075 35.595619 85.699096
2025-06-15 0.293736 0.862529 2.327739 6.235565 16.128221 39.328037 96.702733
2025-06-22 0.279171 0.844953 2.342266 6.437285 17.051043 42.484109 106.682072
2025-06-29 0.257175 0.802835 2.287189 6.451941 17.508111 44.586782 114.370213